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Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Ibrahim Ayuba K.
  • Khan Shazida Mohd

    (University Utara Malaysia, Sintok, Malaysia)

Abstract

The study examines the long-run relationship between domestic debt and the fiscal policy of economic growth in Nigeria in the period from 1981 to 2013 owing to government reforms in the financial system, particularly due to the establishment of the Debt Management Office (DMO) in 2000 and a new fully funded pension fund scheme, both of which resulted in a resurgence of the debt market. The issue that is often raised is the doubt regarding the stability of the debt and its likely implications for the economy, as well as the unpleasant consequences for the government embarking on consolidation. The study employs the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and the bounds test as proposed by Narayan (2005), anchored on the perspective of the endogenous growth theory. The results reveal that although overall the adverse negative domestic debt hurts the economy, it has a positive effect on the total aggregate government revenue and economic growth in Nigeria in the research period. Furthermore, the paper develops a system to assess the speed of the adjustment mechanism coefficient in an error correction model (ECM).

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Ayuba K. & Khan Shazida Mohd, 2019. "Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 33(1), pages 50-68, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ecobus:v:33:y:2019:i:1:p:50-68:n:4
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Autoregressive Distributive Lag; Domestic Debt; Economic Growth; Fiscal Policy; Government Revenue;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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