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ECOWAS Common Currency, a Mirage or Possibility?

Author

Listed:
  • Sagiru Mati
  • Irfan Civcir
  • Huseyin Ozdeser

Abstract

Unlike previous studies, the current study uses oil price and inflationary shocks to assess the feasibility of actualizing the ECOWAS Vision 2020, which is aimed at creating a monetary union. With the help of the Blanchard and Quah (BQ) decomposition for a sample from 1975:05 to 2018:08, two sets of models are estimated: models for inflationary shocks and models for oil price shocks. It is found that although the vision is a mirage, the creation of a common currency can serve as a shock absorber against the negative spillovers of global and regional inflationary shocks. The study also finds that oil price shocks lead to appreciation of the currency for the oil exporting country Nigeria, while Nigeria, The Gambia and Ghana stand out in their responses to oil price shocks. The study recommends that these countries cannot be part of the Vision and that more coordination among ECOWAS members is needed before this Vision can be actualised.JEL: C13, E31, E52, E58, F33, F42.

Suggested Citation

  • Sagiru Mati & Irfan Civcir & Huseyin Ozdeser, 2023. "ECOWAS Common Currency, a Mirage or Possibility?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 70(2), pages 239-260.
    • Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:70:y:2023:i:2:p:239-260:id:959
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary union; Optimal currency area; ECOWAS; WAEMU; SVAR; BQ decomposition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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