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Fundamentals of the Portuguese Crisis

Author

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  • João Sousa Andrade
  • Adelaide Duarte

Abstract

This paper analyses the fundamentals of the Portuguese crisis. The financial crisis of 2007 worsened and triggered the current Portuguese crisis. We argue that the main problem the economy is facing is its output stagnation due to a kind of Dutch disease that has created high and increasing levels of indebtedness, low and decreasing levels of saving and has reduced Portuguese competitiveness. Moreover, the existence of a dualist labour market and a new wave of emigration produce inefficiency, increasing unemployment of younger workers and the supply of human capital abroad funded by the Portuguese taxpayers. Governance problems such as poor public budget governance and lack of transparency and accountability are also at stake. These governance problems must be solved to allow the economy to return to its long-run growth path. Key words: Growth, Debt, Saving, Dutch disease, Unemployment, Budget policy.JEL: E21, F34, G01, H10, H63.

Suggested Citation

  • João Sousa Andrade & Adelaide Duarte, 2011. "Fundamentals of the Portuguese Crisis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(2), pages 195-218.
    • Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:58:y:2011:i:2:p:195-218:id:149
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; Debt; Saving; Dutch disease; Unemployment; Budget policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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