Addiction and Alcohol Consumption: Evidence from Italian Data
AbstractIn this paper we estimate the demand for alcoholic beverages in Italy following the rational addiction framework by Becker and Murphy (1988) and using a GMM estimator. To increase confidence in the reliability of this framework we use two different data sets: (i) a time series of annual aggregate alcohol consumption from 1960 to 2002 supplied by ISTAT; (ii) a time series of household data on wine, beer and liquor consumption recorded on a four-week basis from 1999:3 to 2004:4 and supplied by ISMEA-Nielsen. Both data sets support the hypothesis that alcohol consumers are actually forward-looking. Past consumption is significant in explaining current consumption thus detecting the addictive nature of alcohol. Short and long run price elasticities and the income elasticity of demand are also calculated. Interestingly, the long run income elasticity of demand, as derived from the rational addiction model, is higher than one both for aggregate and specific products so alcoholic beverages turn out to be luxury goods.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore in its journal Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali.
Volume (Year): 115 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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rational addiction; alcohol consumption;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
- C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Longitudinal Data; Spatial Time Series
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