Sulle distribuzioni dei tassi di crescita dell’output aggregato: un’analisi per Stati Uniti e Italia
AbstractThis work investigates the statistical properties of aggregate output growth rates in the U.S. and Italy. We show that in both countries growth rates follow an exponential-power density, with tails that are fatter than a normal distribution. Furthermore, fat tails appear to be robust with respect to: (i) the output measure employed in the analysis; (ii) the presence of outliers, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity; (iii) the family of theoretical density employed in the analysis. Finally, we discuss the implications of our findings for economics and econometrics.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore in its journal Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali.
Volume (Year): 115 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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Distribution of output growth rates; Time-Series; Fat Tails; Exponential-Power Distribution; Output Dynamics.;
Other versions of this item:
- G. Fagiolo & M. Napoletano & A. Roventini, 2007. "Sulle distribuzioni dei tassi di crescita dell’output aggregato: un’analisi per Stati Uniti e Italia," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, vol. 115(2), pages 215-241.
- C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
- E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
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