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Dinámica de la difusión tecnológica en las economías desarrolladas y en desarrollo: un análisis de las tecnologías de información y comunicación (TIC)
[Technological diffusion dynamics in developed and developing economies: an analysis for the information and communication technologies (ICT)]

Author

Listed:
  • Adriano Cristian Gewehr
  • Janaina Ruffoni Trez
  • Alexsandro Marian Carvalho

Abstract

How are the diffusion process dynamics of ICT in developed and developing countries? The research was based on Bass model (1969) and used the empirical consumption data for the G7 and BRICS. The main results were: i) the model adjusted the diffusion curves with low error rates [.2%-5.1%]; ii) no direct relationship between the speed and development level; iii) developed countries have reached the inflection point in the diffusion process before developing countries; iv) in some countries only approximately half of the population will get access to internet. In developing countries, the process to capture new adopters is slow, and while developed countries are reaching saturation, in most of the developing countries these technologies still have potential for diffusion

Suggested Citation

  • Adriano Cristian Gewehr & Janaina Ruffoni Trez & Alexsandro Marian Carvalho, 2019. "Dinámica de la difusión tecnológica en las economías desarrolladas y en desarrollo: un análisis de las tecnologías de información y comunicación (TIC) [Technological diffusion dynamics in developed," Estudios Economicos, Universidad Nacional del Sur, Departamento de Economia, vol. 36(73), pages 71-107, july-dece.
  • Handle: RePEc:uns:esteco:v:36:y:2019:i:73:p:71-107
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    difusión; innovación; países en desarrollo; países desarrollados;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling

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