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Determinants of inflation in Venezuela: Markup approach

Author

Listed:
  • José Contreras

    (Oficina de Investigaciones Económicas. BCV. Venezuela.)

  • Nora Guarata

    (Oficina de Investigaciones Económicas. BCV. Venezuela.)

Abstract

The article aims to develop an econometric model that considers elements of short and long term to analyze the behavior of inflation in Venezuela in a theoretical approach of a unit cost model. In the first place, we estimated a long-term relationship or cointegration between the cost structure and the behavior of the general price index. Secondly, a short run model is constructed using the technique of error correction model with the following variables: inflation, internal costs, external costs, inflation inertia, output gap and the impact of the error correction term from the long run equation. In the short run the variable representing the markup influences inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • José Contreras & Nora Guarata, 2014. "Determinants of inflation in Venezuela: Markup approach," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, vol. 39(38), pages 9-31, july-dece.
  • Handle: RePEc:ula:econom:v:39:y:2014:i:38:p:9-31
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Markup; inflation; cointegration and error correction model.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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