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Foresight and Public Utility Regulation

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  • Gort, Michael
  • Wall, Richard A

Abstract

This paper develops a model that shows the effects of rational expectations, and of efficient mark ets, on public utility regulation. It is shown that the feedback from investor expectations to regulatory behavior, together with investor expectations that take account of this feedback, basically alters th e consequences of regulatory decisions. The analysis examines the eff ects of a deviation between the allowed rate of return and the cost o f capital, with both perfect and imperfect investor foresight. It als o assesses the consequences of differing expected growth rates. Concl usions are drawn for the effects of regulatory decisions on resource misallocation and of regulatory lag on incentives. Copyright 1988 by University of Chicago Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Gort, Michael & Wall, Richard A, 1988. "Foresight and Public Utility Regulation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(1), pages 177-188, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:v:96:y:1988:i:1:p:177-88
    DOI: 10.1086/261530
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    Cited by:

    1. Roger Buckland & Julian Williams & Janice Beecher, 2015. "Risk and regulation in water utilities: a cross-country comparison of evidence from the CAPM," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 117-145, April.

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