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Earnings Quality and Stock Returns

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Author Info
Konan Chan (University of Hong Kong and National Taiwan University)
Louis K. C. Chan (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
Narasimhan Jegadeesh (Emory University)
Josef Lakonishok (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and National Bureau of Economic Research)
Abstract

An exclusive focus on bottom-line income misses important information contained in accruals (the difference between accounting earnings and cash flow) about the quality of earnings. Earnings increases that are accompanied by high accruals, suggesting low-quality earnings, are associated with poor future returns. We explore various hypotheses—earnings manipulation, extrapolative biases about future growth, and underreaction to changes in business conditions—to explain accruals' predictive power. Checks for robustness using within-industry comparisons and data on U.K. stocks are also provided.

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File URL: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/resolve?JB790302
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 79 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 1041-1082
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:79:y:2006:i:3:p:1041-1082

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  2. Trejo-Pech, Carlos Omar & Weldon, Richard N. & Gunderson, Michael A., 2008. "Working Capital and Stock Returns for American Agribusiness Firms," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6266, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  3. R. Andergassen, 2008. "Product Market Competition, Incentives and Fraudulent Behavior," Working Papers 638, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna. [Downloadable!]
  4. James Angel & Douglas McCabe, 2008. "The Ethics of Managerial Compensation: The Case of Executive Stock Options," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 78(1), pages 225-235, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Georgios Papanastasopoulos & Dimitrios Thomakos & Tao Wang, 2007. "Information in Balance Sheets about Future Stock Returns: Evidence from Net Operating Assets," Working Papers 0009, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Kothari, S.P. & Loutskina, Elena & Nikolaev, Valeri, 2006. "Agency theory of overvalued equity as an explanation for the accrual anomaly," Discussion Paper 103, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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