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Clearly Heard on the Street: The Effect of Takeover Rumors on Stock Prices

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Author Info
Pound, John
Zeckhauser, Richard J

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Abstract

This article examines the effects of takeover rumors on stock prices using a sample of rumors published in the WALL STREET JOURNAL's "Heard on the Street" column. We find that the market reacts efficiently to rumors; simple trading strategies based on buying or selling rumored targets' stocks yield zero excess returns. We document a significant price run-up for rumored targets in the month before publication of the takeover rumor. We find that widespread takeover rumors accurately predict imminent takeover bids less than half the time. Finally, we find that most takeover rumors are preceded by unusual price and volume activity in the stock of the rumored target, which may stimulate speculation that a large block position is being accumulated. Copyright 1990 by the University of Chicago.

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File URL: http://www.jstor.org/fcgi-bin/jstor/listjournal.fcg/00219398/.61-.67
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 63 (1990)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 291-308
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:63:y:1990:i:3:p:291-308

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  1. Michael R. King & Maksym Padalko, 2005. "Pre-Bid Run-Ups Ahead of Canadian Takeovers: How Big Is the Problem?," Working Papers 05-3, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ajeyo Banerjee & E. Woodrow Eckard, 2001. "Why Regulate Insider Trading? Evidence from the First Great Merger Wave (1897-1903)," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1329-1349, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Boyan Jovanovic & Serguey Braguinsky, 2002. "Bidder Discounts and Target Premia in Takeovers," NBER Working Papers 9009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. J. David Cummins & Christopher M. Lewis, 2002. "Catastrophic Events, Parameter Uncertainty and the Breakdown of Implicit Long-term Contracting in the Insurance Market: The Case of Terrorism Insurance," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 02-40, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kosfeld, M., 1998. "Rumours and markets," Discussion Paper 23, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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