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Market Timing, Selectivity, and Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Investigation

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Author Info
Lee, Cheng Few
Rahman, Shafiqur
Abstract

This article empirically examines market timing and selectivity performance of a sample of mutual funds. It uses a very simple regression technique to separate stock selection ability from timing ability. This technique, first suggested by Treynor and Mazuy and later refined by Bhattacharya and Pfleiderer, uses a modified security-market line approach to produce individual measures of timing and stock selection ability. The inputs to the model are only the returns earned on the fund and those earned on the market portfolio. The empirical results indicate that at the individual fund level there is some evidence of superior micro- and macroforecasting ability on the part of the fund manager. Copyright 1990 by the University of Chicago.

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File URL: http://www.jstor.org/fcgi-bin/jstor/listjournal.fcg/00219398/.61-.67
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 63 (1990)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 261-78
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:63:y:1990:i:2:p:261-78

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  1. Riccardo Cesari & Fabio Panetta, 1998. "Style, Fees and Performance of Italian Equity Funds," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 325, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Meredith Beechey & David Gruen & James Vickery, 2000. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis: A Survey," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2000-01, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Michael E. Drew & Madhu Veeraraghavan & Vanessa Wilson, 2002. "Market Timing and Selectivity: Evidence from Australian Equity Superannuation Funds," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 105, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  4. Andrew W. Lo & A. Craig MacKinlay, 1995. "Maximizing Predictability in the Stock and Bond Markets," NBER Working Papers 5027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Pin-Huang Chou & Robert P. Parks, 1993. "A Further Re-Examination of the Contrarian Investment Strategy: Evidence from Multivariate Tests," Finance 9307001, EconWPA, revised 25 Jul 1993. [Downloadable!]
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