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Does the DM Dominate the Euro Market? An Empirical Investigation

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Kirchgassner, Gebhard
Wolters, Jurgen

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Abstract

Starting point is the 'German Dominance Hypothesis,' according to which Germany has a dominant position within the EMS. This makes it impossible for other member countries to pursue their own monetary policies. Using monthly data of three-month Euro market rates from 1980 to 1988, for the U.S., Germany, the U.K., the Netherlands, France and Italy, we test this hypothesis in a multivariate cointegration framework. We find that Germany has a strong position in Europe, which is not restricted to the EMS. Concerning long-run development, one might speak of a dominant position. However, there are short-run relations between European countries which are not linked to relations with Germany. Copyright 1993 by MIT Press.

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Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 75 (1993)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 773-78
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:75:y:1993:i:4:p:773-78

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  1. Christopher F Baum & John Barkoulas, 2002. "Dynamics of Intra-EMS Interest Rate Linkages," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 13, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Chan, Tze-Haw & Khong, Wye Leong Roy & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, 2003. "Dynamic Financial Linkages of Japan and ASEAN Economies: An Application of Real Interest Parity," MPRA Paper 2209, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2003. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bruneau, C. & Jondeau, E., 1998. "Long-Run Causality, with an Application to International Links Between Long-Term Interest Rates," Documents de Travail 53, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
  4. Müller, Claudia & Buscher, Herbert S., 1999. "The impact of monetary instruments on shock absorption in EU-Countries," ZEW Discussion Papers 99-15, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Josef C. Brada & Ali M. Kutan & Su Zhou, 2002. "Real and Monetary Convergence within the European Union and Between the European Union and Candidate Countries: A Rolling Cointegration Approach," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 458, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
  6. Nicholas Sarantis, Chris Stewart, 2000. "The ERM Effect, Conflict and Inflation in the European Union," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 25-43, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Josef C. Brada & Ali M. Kutan, 2002. "Balkan and Mediterranean Candidates for European Union Membership: The Convergence of their Monetary Policy with that of the European Central Bank," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 456, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Axel Cron, Jens Weidmann, 1996. "German Unification and the EMS: A Non-Parametric Approach to the Asymmetry Question," Discussion Paper Serie B 353, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  9. Ralf Brüggemann & Helmut Lütkepohl & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2006. "Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2006-065, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Jerome Henry & Jens Weidmann, 2005. "The French-German Interest Rate Differential Since German," International Finance 0503009, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  11. G. Geoffrey Booth & Cetin Ciner, 2005. "German dominance in the European Monetary System: a reprise using robust Wald tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 463-466, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Alina Spiru, 2007. "Inflation convergence in the new EU member states," Working Papers 005221, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  13. Marco Barassi & Guglielmo Caporale & Stephen Hall, 2005. "A Sequential Test for Structural Breaks in the Causal Linkages Between the G7 Short-Term Interest Rates," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 107-133, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Ralf Brüggemann & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2005. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure: Empirical Results for the U.S. and Europe," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-035, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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