On the Frequency of Large Stock Returns: Putting Booms and Busts into Perspective
AbstractNumerous articles have investigated the distribution of share prices, and find that the returns are fat tailed. Nevertheless, there is still controversy about the amount of probability mass in the tails, and hence about the most appropriate distribution to use in modeling returns. This controversy has proven hard to resolve, as the alternatives are non-nested. The authors employ extreme value theory, focusing exclusively on the larger observations in order to assess the tail shape within a unified framework. They find that at least the first two moments exist. This enables one to generate robust probabilities on large returns, which put the recent stock market swings into historical perspective. Copyright 1991 by MIT Press.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.
Volume (Year): 73 (1991)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://mitpress.mit.edu/journals/
Other versions of this item:
- Dennis Jansen & Casper de Vries, 1988. "On the frequency of large stock returns: putting booms and busts into perspective," Working Papers 1989-006, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
This item has more than 25 citations. To prevent cluttering this page, these citations are listed on a separate page. reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Karie Kirkpatrick).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.