This paper models behavior when a decision maker cares about and manages her self-image. In addition to having preferences over material outcomes, the agent derives “ego utility†from positive views about her ability to do well in a skill-sensitive, “ambitious,†task. Although she uses Bayes' rule to update beliefs, she tends to become overconfident regarding which task is appropriate for her. If tasks are equally informative about ability, her task choice is also overconfident. If the ambitious task is more informative about ability, she might initially display underconfidence in behavior, and, if she is disappointed by her performance, later become too ambitious. People with ego utility prefer to acquire free information in smaller pieces. Applications to employee motivation and other economic settings are discussed. (JEL: D83, D11) Copyright (c) 2006 by the European Economic Association.
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Rick Harbaugh, 2005.
"Prospect Theory or Skill Signaling?,"
Working Papers
2005-06, Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, Department of Business Economics and Public Policy.
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Benoît, Jean-Pierre & Dubra, Juan, 2007.
"Overconfidence?,"
MPRA Paper
6017, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2007.
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Other versions:
Benoît, Jean-Pierre & Dubra, Juan, 2008.
"Overconfidence?,"
MPRA Paper
8879, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]