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Detecting and Quantifying Insider Trading and Stock Manipulation in Asian Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Gishan Dissanaike

    (University of Cambridge Judge Business School)

  • Kim-Hwa Lim

    (University of Cambridge Judge Business School)

Abstract

This paper focuses on insider trading, where the perpetrators exploit market sensitive information to earn profits or avoid losses. The paper's objectives are as follows. First, we seek to examine whether we can detect possible insider trading and stock manipulation and react in almost real time, even though insider trading activity is intended to be evasive. Second, we also estimate the extent of illicit profits (or loss avoidance) that might have been earned. Finally, we analyze, if detection is possible, the appropriate response for regulators and other market participants. We do not restrict our study to cases where corporate events have materialized, as we hope to capture insider trading surrounding market rumors and failed corporate events. Because insider trading is executed with the aim of being evasive and undetected, it is impossible to conclude with certainty. Nevertheless, using a hypothesized model based on how insiders and stock manipulators trade, we detect price patterns that are consistent with their objective to maximize profits and at the same time be evasive.

Suggested Citation

  • Gishan Dissanaike & Kim-Hwa Lim, 2015. "Detecting and Quantifying Insider Trading and Stock Manipulation in Asian Markets," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 14(3), pages 1-20, Fall.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:asiaec:v:14:y:2015:i:3:p:1-20
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    File URL: http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/ASEP_a_00368
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Buchner & Tobias A. Jopp, 2019. "Full steam ahead: Insider knowledge, stock trading and the nationalization of the railways in Prussia around 1879," Working Papers 0151, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    2. Hanedar, Avni Önder & Yaldız Hanedar, Elmas & Göktan, Mehmet Gökhan, 2022. "Insider trading on Ottoman sovereign default: The Ottoman General Debt Bond at European and İstanbul financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    3. Sheikh Rabiul Islam & Sheikh Khaled Ghafoor & William Eberle, 2018. "Mining Illegal Insider Trading of Stocks: A Proactive Approach," Papers 1807.00939, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2018.
    4. Mazza, Paolo & Wang, Shiyu, 2021. "Corporate legal insider trading in China: Performance and determinants," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    5. Mazza, Paolo & Ruh, Benjamin, 2022. "The performance of corporate legal insider trading in the Korean market," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    insider trading; regulation;

    JEL classification:

    • K4 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior

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