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Explaining regional differences in mortality during the first wave of Covid-19 in Italy

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  • Ugofilippo Basellini
  • Carlo Giovanni Camarda

Abstract

Italy was hit harshly by the Covid-19 pandemic, registering more than 35,000 Covid-19 deaths between February and July 2020. During this first wave of the epidemic, the virus spread unequally across the country, with northern regions witnessing more cases and deaths. We investigate demographic and socio-economic factors contributing to the diverse regional impact of the virus during the first wave. Using generalized additive mixed models, we find that Covid-19 mortality at regional level is negatively associated with the degree of intergenerational co-residence, number of intensive care unit beds per capita, and delay in the outbreak of the epidemic. Conversely, we do not find strong associations for several variables highlighted in recent literature, such as population density or the share of the population who are older or have at least one chronic disease. Our results underscore the importance of context-specific analysis for the study of a pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Ugofilippo Basellini & Carlo Giovanni Camarda, 2022. "Explaining regional differences in mortality during the first wave of Covid-19 in Italy," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 76(1), pages 99-118, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rpstxx:v:76:y:2022:i:1:p:99-118
    DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1984551
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    Cited by:

    1. Bruno Arpino & Valeria Bordone & Giorgio Di Gessa, 2022. "Close kin influence COVID-19 precautionary behaviors and vaccine acceptance of older individuals," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2022_02, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".

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