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Inflation–growth relationship in selected Asian developing countries: evidence from panel data

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  • Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar
  • P.N. (Raja) Junankar

Abstract

We question the empirical foundation of keeping inflation at 5% or below in developing economies. Using System Generalized Method of Moments we investigate the issue in the context of 14 Asian developing countries for the period 1961–2010. We find no robust empirical justification for targeting inflation at such a low level. The inflation threshold for these countries is found around 13% and it may range between 7% and 14% depending on the level of development. The findings suggest that developing countries can gain from moderate levels of inflation and should not be alarmed when inflation crosses the 5% benchmark.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar & P.N. (Raja) Junankar, 2014. "Inflation–growth relationship in selected Asian developing countries: evidence from panel data," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 604-628, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjapxx:v:19:y:2014:i:4:p:604-628
    DOI: 10.1080/13547860.2014.920594
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    Cited by:

    1. Gazi Salah Uddin & Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar & Mohamed Arouri & Bo Sjö, 2017. "Understanding the Relationship between Inflation and Growth: A Wavelet Transformation Approach in the Case of Bangladesh," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(9), pages 1918-1933, September.
    2. Muhammad AZAM KHAN* & Saleem KHAN*, 2018. "INFLATION AND THE ECONOMIC GROWTH: Evidence from Five Asian Countries," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 28(2), pages 235-252.
    3. Muhammad Azam & Saleem Khan, 2022. "Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and economic growth: Further empirical evidence from the developed and developing world," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4224-4243, October.
    4. Gideon Minua Kwaku Ampofo & Prosper Basommi Laari & Emmanuel Opoku Ware & Williams Shaw, 2023. "Further investigation of the total natural resource rents and economic growth nexus in resource-abundant sub-Saharan African countries," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(1), pages 97-121, January.
    5. Baharudin, Azfar Hilmi, 2018. "A Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Analysis of Price and Industrial Shocks on the Malaysian Economy," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(3), pages 191-204.
    6. Mevlut Tatliyer, 2017. "Inflation targeting and the need for a new central banking framework," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 512-539, October.
    7. Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar & Anis Chowdhury, 2014. "The IMF and the policy of low inflation: A review of Article IV consultations for selected Asian developing countries," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 25(3), pages 435-454, September.
    8. Anis Chowdhury & Jomo Kwame Sundaram, 2023. "Inflation and Development: Central Bank Stabilization Policies Revisited," Development, Palgrave Macmillan;Society for International Deveopment, vol. 66(1), pages 3-14, June.

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