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Can financial technology development change the causality between tourism and economic growth?

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  • Po-Chin Wu
  • Hui-Yu Liu
  • Shiao-Yen Liu
  • Juei-Ming Hsiao

Abstract

This paper constructs a panel smooth transition vector autoregressive model with a financial technology index (FTI) as a transition variable to explore the causality between inbound tourism and economic growth in 22 OECD countries. The model resolves the estimation problems of nonlinearity, heterogeneity, and endogeneity. The empirical results support that the causality is nonlinear, bidirectional, and time- and country-varying, depending on each country’s FTI in each period. Under most FTIs, the current inbound tourism growth will crowd out the economic growth in the next period. When the FTI is higher than the threshold (81.27), the current economic growth will harm inbound tourism growth in the next period. For OECD countries with an FTI below the threshold (81.27), tourism companies should actively expand their investment to share the tourism dividend driven from the economic growth in the previous period. For OECD countries with an FTI above the threshold, the governments should adopt appropriate policies to reduce the impact of economic growth on the tourism industry, and tourism companies should increase tourism investment during the periods of economic downturn.

Suggested Citation

  • Po-Chin Wu & Hui-Yu Liu & Shiao-Yen Liu & Juei-Ming Hsiao, 2021. "Can financial technology development change the causality between tourism and economic growth?," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(11), pages 1613-1630, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:rcitxx:v:24:y:2021:i:11:p:1613-1630
    DOI: 10.1080/13683500.2020.1828307
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    Cited by:

    1. Amin, Sakib Bin & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2023. "Tourism, sustainability, and the economy in Bangladesh: The innovation connection amidst Covid-19," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 153-167.
    2. Arshian Sharif & Najia Saqib & Kangyin Dong & Syed Abdul Rehman Khan, 2022. "Nexus between green technology innovation, green financing, and CO2 emissions in the G7 countries: The moderating role of social globalisation," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1934-1946, December.
    3. Jianxu Liu & Vicente Ramos & Bing Yang & Mengjiao Wang & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2024. "Analysing the dynamic co-movement between tourism and expected economic growth considering extreme events," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(1), pages 3-26, February.

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