IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/rcejxx/v6y2013i2-3p134-151.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Clarification of misled statistic data: overestimated per-capita housing area

Author

Listed:
  • Xin Li
  • Dianqing Xu

Abstract

The per-capita urban housing area determines trends in the real estate market largely. These trends are important in formulating economic policies. The China Statistical Yearbook provides two groups of data for ‘per-capita urban housing.’ The demand–supply situation of the Chinese housing market must be analyzed and predicted by using different versions of data. This study uses data from Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People’s Republic of China, which comprise projected timing comparative data of the Chinese per-capita urban housing area, and predicts the future demand–supply situation of the Chinese housing market using the Gompertz model. The result shows that the per-capita urban housing area has declined since 2001, but the tight trend of the Chinese real estate market and the pressure of rising house prices will last for a relatively long time. The construction speed of commercial houses will only slow down if the urbanization proportion reaches 75%.

Suggested Citation

  • Xin Li & Dianqing Xu, 2013. "Clarification of misled statistic data: overestimated per-capita housing area," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2-3), pages 134-151, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rcejxx:v:6:y:2013:i:2-3:p:134-151
    DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2013.860681
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/17538963.2013.860681
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/17538963.2013.860681?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:rcejxx:v:6:y:2013:i:2-3:p:134-151. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/rcej .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.