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The international spillover of china’s monetary policy: a case study of a developing country

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  • Ahmad Jafari Samimi
  • Seyed Peyman Asadi
  • Zahra Sheidaei

Abstract

This paper aimed to investigate the evidence on the transmission of China’s monetary policy shocks to macroeconomic variables in Iran. Since 1990, China has become one of the main trading partners of Iran; therefore, it is expected that China’s macroeconomic shocks have some consequences on Iran’s Economy. In this study, a structural vector autoregressive model is used to explore such a transmission. The findings of the study reveal that the China’s monetary policy changes significantly affect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as Iran’s CPI meaningfully increases with the expansion of China’s money supply. Furthermore, it was found that Iran’s other economic variables, including the real GDP, real effective exchange rate, and interest rate, do not significantly reflect the China’s monetary shocks; even though confirm the expected sign and direction.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Jafari Samimi & Seyed Peyman Asadi & Zahra Sheidaei, 2019. "The international spillover of china’s monetary policy: a case study of a developing country," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 52-67, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rcejxx:v:12:y:2019:i:1:p:52-67
    DOI: 10.1080/17538963.2018.1514576
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