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Heterogeneous Impacts of COVID-19 on trade: Evidence from China’s province-level data

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  • Dapeng Cai
  • Kazunobu Hayakawa

Abstract

This study investigates how the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic affected China’s province-level trade. Using data on trade for January to April 2019 and 2020 and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases or deaths, we empirically examine the effects of COVID-19-related damage on provincial exports and imports separately. We find that, on average, the COVID-19 pandemic did not lead to a reduction in provincial trade. However, we find negatively significant effects on trade in some provinces (e.g. those with a smaller number of deaths during a past coronavirus outbreak) and some industries (e.g. labor-intensive industries).

Suggested Citation

  • Dapeng Cai & Kazunobu Hayakawa, 2022. "Heterogeneous Impacts of COVID-19 on trade: Evidence from China’s province-level data," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(7), pages 1072-1085, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:31:y:2022:i:7:p:1072-1085
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2022.2053189
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhilu Che & Mei Kong & Sen Wang & Jiakun Zhuang, 2023. "How Does the COVID-19 Pandemic Impact Internal Trade? Evidence from China’s Provincial-Level Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-24, July.
    2. Magdalena Olczyk & Marta Ewa Kuc-Czarnecka, 2021. "Determinants of COVID-19 Impact on the Private Sector: A Multi-Country Analysis Based on Survey Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Mukunoki, Hiroshi, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on international trade: Evidence from the first shock," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F61 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Microeconomic Impacts
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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