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Stock prices and exchange rate dynamics in Nigeria: An asymmetric perspective

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  • Ekpeno L. Effiong
  • Godwin E. Bassey

Abstract

This paper investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate changes on stock prices in Nigeria. Using the nonlinear ARDL framework and monthly data from 2000:1 to 2016:12, the nominal exchange rate is separated into currency depreciation and appreciation through a partial sum decomposition process. Asymmetry is examined both in the long-run relationship and short-run error correction mechanism. The results show that the effects of exchange rate changes on stock prices is asymmetric both in the short- and long-run. That is, stock prices react in different magnitude to depreciation and appreciation. However, currency depreciation has a strong pass-through effect on stock prices than appreciation in the long-run. In the absence of asymmetry, exchange rate has only short-run effect on stock prices. This implies that the symmetry assumption underestimates the impact of exchange rate changes on stock prices in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekpeno L. Effiong & Godwin E. Bassey, 2019. "Stock prices and exchange rate dynamics in Nigeria: An asymmetric perspective," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 299-316, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:28:y:2019:i:3:p:299-316
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2018.1531436
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    Cited by:

    1. Tian, Maoxi & El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M., 2023. "The nonlinear and negative tail dependence and risk spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Shaobo Long & Mengxue Zhang & Keaobo Li & Shuyu Wu, 2021. "Do the RMB exchange rate and global commodity prices have asymmetric or symmetric effects on China’s stock prices?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, December.

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