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The determinants of Turkey's exports to Islamic countries: The impact of political risks

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  • Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin
  • Giray Gozgor
  • Ender Demir

Abstract

Using the traditional gravity model, this paper aims to analyze the determinants of Turkish exports to 43 Islamic Development Bank member countries for the period from 1996 to 2015. The paper specifically investigates the effects of 12 political risk measures (bureaucracy quality, corruption, democratic accountability, government stability, internal and external conflict, investment profile, law and order, military in politics, religious and ethnic tensions, and socioeconomic conditions) in the importing countries on the total volume of exports of Turkey. After implementing various robustness checks, the paper finds that the government instability in the importing countries is negatively associated with the Turkish exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Giray Gozgor & Ender Demir, 2018. "The determinants of Turkey's exports to Islamic countries: The impact of political risks," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(5), pages 486-503, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:27:y:2018:i:5:p:486-503
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2017.1396489
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    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Giray Gozgor & Huseyin Kaya & Ender Demir, 2019. "Effects of geopolitical risks on trade flows: evidence from the gravity model," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(4), pages 515-530, December.
    2. Jian Xue & Zeeshan Rasool & Raima Nazar & Ahmad Imran Khan & Shaukat Hussain Bhatti & Sajid Ali, 2021. "Revisiting Natural Resources—Globalization-Environmental Quality Nexus: Fresh Insights from South Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-19, April.
    3. Anca Tamas & Dumitru Miron, 2021. "The Governance Impact on the Romanian Trade Flows. An Augmented Gravity Model," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 23(56), pages 276-276, February.
    4. Sebil Olalekan Oshota & Bashir Adelowo Wahab, 2022. "Institutional Quality and Intra-Regional Trade Flows: Evidence from ECOWAS," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 73-106, December.
    5. Carlos Abreo & Ricardo Bustillo & Carlos Rodriguez, 2021. "The role of institutional quality in the international trade of a Latin American country: evidence from Colombian export performance," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, December.

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