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Fiscal imbalances and output crises in Europe: will the fiscal compact help or hinder?

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  • Graham Bird
  • Alex Mandilaras

Abstract

The eurozone crisis has involved sharp output declines and has generated much discussion about the appropriate design of macroeconomic policy both in terms of dealing with the contemporary situation and minimising the risks of future crises. Much of the debate surrounding the crisis has focused on fiscal policy. All but two member states of the European Union have signed a draft treaty, the ‘fiscal compact’, that seeks to eliminate structural fiscal deficits. This paper examines the relationship between fiscal balances and output shortfalls amongst the eurozone countries allowing for other factors. In the light of the findings it critically assesses the fiscal compact.

Suggested Citation

  • Graham Bird & Alex Mandilaras, 2013. "Fiscal imbalances and output crises in Europe: will the fiscal compact help or hinder?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jecprf:v:16:y:2013:i:1:p:1-16
    DOI: 10.1080/17487870.2013.765081
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    Cited by:

    1. Julio Guzman, 2014. "Social Protection and Private Coping Strategies During Recessions: Evidence from Chile," Working Papers wp_041, Adolfo Ibáñez University, School of Government.
    2. Chrysovalantis Amountzias, 2018. "The Effects of Competition, Liquidity and Exports on Markups: Evidence from the UK Food and Beverages Sector," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 187-208, June.
    3. Guido Baldi, 2016. "Fiscal policy rules, budget deficits, and forecasting biases," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 185-194, April.
    4. Michal Horvath, 2017. "European Fiscal Compact in Action: Can Independent Fiscal Institutions Deliver Effective Oversight?," Discussion Papers Discussion Paper No. 1/20, Council for Budget Responsibility.
    5. Baldi, Guido, 2016. "Fiscal Policy Rules, Budget Deficits, and Forecasting Biases," EconStor Open Access Articles, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 185-194.
    6. Kollias, Christos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Psarianos, Iacovos, 2014. "Fiscal imbalances and asymmetric adjustment under Labour and Conservative governments in the UK," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 208-213.
    7. Dias, João, 2013. "Spanning trees and the Eurozone crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5974-5984.
    8. Kukk Merike & Staehr Karsten, 2015. "Enhanced Fiscal Governance in the European Union: The Fiscal Compact," TalTech Journal of European Studies, Sciendo, vol. 5(1), pages 73-92, February.
    9. Jesús Ferreiro & Catalina Gálvez & Ana González, 2015. "Fiscal Policies in the European Union during the Crisis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(2), pages 131-155, June.
    10. Waheed, Farah & Abdul Rashid,, 2021. "Credit frictions, fiscal imbalances, monetary policy autonomy, and monetary policy rules," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).

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