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The tyranny of rules: fiscal discipline, productive spending, and growth in a perfect foresight model

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  • Pierre‐Richard Agénor
  • S. Devrim Yilmaz

Abstract

The performance of alternative fiscal rules is examined in an endogenous growth model. The government spends money on infrastructure, maintenance, and health. Infrastructure affects the production of both commodities and health services. The performance of a balanced budget rule, as well as standard and modified golden rules (including and excluding productive spending) and primary surplus rules are compared numerically. Under a range of plausible parameter configurations, a primary surplus rule that excludes productive spending performs better (in a growth sense, although not necessarily from the perspective of short‐run macro stability) than alternative rules in response to a variety of shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre‐Richard Agénor & S. Devrim Yilmaz, 2011. "The tyranny of rules: fiscal discipline, productive spending, and growth in a perfect foresight model," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 69-99.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jecprf:v:14:y:2011:i:1:p:69-99
    DOI: 10.1080/17487870.2010.503086
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    Cited by:

    1. Michał Konopczyński, 2018. "How Taxes, Education and Public Capital Influence Economic Growth in Poland," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(3), September.
    2. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Devrim Yilmaz, 2012. "Simple Dynamics of Public Debt with Productive Public Goods," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 165, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    3. Huang, Wei Hong & Chen, Yang & Rudkin, Simon, 2014. "Dynamic Fiscal competition with public infrastructure investment: Austerity and attracting capital inflow," RIEI Working Papers 2014-03, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Research Institute for Economic Integration, revised 02 Mar 2016.
    4. Real Arai, 2011. "Productive Government Expenditure and Fiscal Sustainability," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 67(4), pages 327-351, December.
    5. Amer TABAKOVIĆ, 2019. "Public Spending in an OLG Economy with Endogenous Technological Change - Financing Matters -," Departmental Working Papers 2019-08, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    6. Zwelihle Wiseman NZUZA, 2014. "Perceived Effectiveness of Municipal Financial Management on the Performance of Inventory Stock Management in Local Government of South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(3), pages 251-261.
    7. Shvets, Serhii, 2020. "The golden rule of public finance under active monetary stance: endogenous setting for a developing economy," MPRA Paper 101232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Max Groneck, 2011. "The golden rule of public finance and the composition of government expenditures: a growth and welfare analysis," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 273-294, December.
    9. Banegas Rivero, Roger Alejandro & Vergara González, Reyna, 2019. "Evaluación de escenarios fiscales para Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 32, pages 132-168, November.

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