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Joint analysis of occurrence and time to stability after entrance into the Italian labour market: an approach based on a Bayesian cure model with structured stochastic search variable selection

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  • Alessio Farcomeni
  • Alessandra Nardi
  • Elena Fabrizi

Abstract

Precarious employment is a serious social problem, especially in those countries, such as Italy, where there are limited benefits from social security. We investigate this phenomenon by analysing the initial part of the career of employees starting with unstable contracts for a panel of Italian workers. Our aim is to estimate the probability of getting a stable job and to detect factors influencing both this probability and the duration of precariousness. To answer these questions, we use an ad hoc mixture cure rate model in a Bayesian framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessio Farcomeni & Alessandra Nardi & Elena Fabrizi, 2011. "Joint analysis of occurrence and time to stability after entrance into the Italian labour market: an approach based on a Bayesian cure model with structured stochastic search variable selection," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(11), pages 2627-2646, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:38:y:2011:i:11:p:2627-2646
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2011.567246
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