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Price uncertainty, future markets and correlation

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Author Info
Harald Battermann
Udo Broll

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Abstract

This paper examines the optimal trade and hedging decisions of a competitive exporting firm which faces concurrently hedgeable exchange rate risk and non-hedgeable inflation risk. The macroeconomic interaction between exchange rate and domestic inflation rate risk is described by a state variable. The (strong) correlation is pivotal in determining the optimal risk management. It is shown how optimal hedging strategies are affected by state-dependent preferences of the firm. The optimal hedge policy is to minimize the variation of marginal utility of final wealth across states of nature instead of minimizing the variance of final wealth.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Korean International Economic Association in its journal International Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 18 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 237-243
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Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:18:y:2004:i:2:p:237-243

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Related research
Keywords: Exchange Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; State-dependent Preferences; Hedging; Strong Correlation;

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Newbery, David M, 1989. "The Theory of Food Price Stabilisation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(398), pages 1065-82, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-10.


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