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Does Country Risk Promote the Informal Economy? A Cross-National Panel Data Estimation

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  • Ting Xu
  • Zhike Lv
  • Luoqi Xie

Abstract

This article investigates whether country risk plays an important role in determining the size of the informal economy. Using annualized panel data for a sample of 131 countries and regions covering 1999–2007, and controlling for a set of control variables, we find that country risk is a robust and significant determinant of the informal economy: a 1% increase in the country risk rating (decrease in the country risk) causes a 0.1% fall in the informal economy, and political risk has the largest effect, followed by economic risk. Moreover, the estimation results provide little evidence in support of an inverted-U relationship between urbanization and the share of the informal sector, which shed new light on the urbanization-the informal economy nexus.

Suggested Citation

  • Ting Xu & Zhike Lv & Luoqi Xie, 2018. "Does Country Risk Promote the Informal Economy? A Cross-National Panel Data Estimation," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 289-310, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:glecrv:v:47:y:2018:i:3:p:289-310
    DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2018.1450641
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    Cited by:

    1. Aysel Amir & Korhan Gökmenoğlu, 2023. "Analyzing the Drivers of the Shadow Economy for the Case of the CESEE Region," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 71(2), pages 155-181, February.
    2. Aristophane Djeufack Dongmo & Paloma Mbengono Coralie & Manuela Chetue Komguep & Ulrich Kembeng Tchinda, 2023. "Urbanization, informal economy, economic growth and CO2 emissions in African countries: a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model approach," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 35-63, April.
    3. Pang, Jingru & Li, Nan & Mu, Hailin & Jin, Xin & Zhang, Ming, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of urbanization on shadow economy both in short-run and long-run:New evidence from dynamic panel threshold model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    4. Kpognon, Koffi D., 2022. "Effect of Natural Resources on the Size of Informal Economy in sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-14.

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