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The Effect of Conference Calls on Analysts' Forecasts -- German Evidence

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  • Moritz Bassemir
  • Zoltan Novotny-Farkas
  • Julian Pachta

Abstract

This study examines whether conference calls provide additional information to analysts. For a large sample of conference calls, hosted by German firms between 2004 and 2007, our results show that conference calls improve analysts' ability to forecast future earnings accurately. This suggests that additional information is released during conference calls. The reduction in forecast error is economically significant and larger in magnitude when compared to results for the US (Bowen et al ., 2002). These findings are consistent with the notion that committing to additional disclosures is likely to yield greater effects in a less stringent disclosure system (Verrecchia, 2001). Since the majority of our sample firms conduct conference calls as closed calls, the evidence of this paper suggests that conference calls may contribute to an information gap between call participants and non-invited parties. Our findings should be of substantial interest to European regulators seeking to level the informational playing field for all investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Moritz Bassemir & Zoltan Novotny-Farkas & Julian Pachta, 2013. "The Effect of Conference Calls on Analysts' Forecasts -- German Evidence," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 151-183, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:euract:v:22:y:2013:i:1:p:151-183
    DOI: 10.1080/09638180.2011.640454
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    Cited by:

    1. Dmitry Bazhutov & André Betzer & Francois Brochet & Markus Doumet & Peter Limbach, 2023. "The Supply and Effectiveness of Investor Relations in Insider- vs. Outsider-Oriented Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 660-683, January.
    2. Eiler, Lisa A. & Filzen, Joshua J. & Jackson, Mark & Tama-Sweet, Isho, 2021. "Real earnings management and the properties of analysts' forecasts," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Houdou Basse Mama & Alexander Bassen, 2017. "Neglected disciplinary effects of investor relations: evidence from corporate cash holdings," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 87(2), pages 221-261, February.
    4. Devrimi Kaya & Christian Maier & Tobias Böhmer, 2020. "Empirische Kapitalmarktforschung zu Conference Calls: Eine Literaturanalyse [Empirical Capital Market Research on Conference Calls: A Literature Review]," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 72(2), pages 183-212, June.
    5. Robert Fraunhoffer & Ho Young Kim & Dirk Schiereck, 2018. "Value Creation in M&A Transactions, Conference Calls, and Shareholder Protection," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21, January.
    6. Jing Wei, 2023. "Does the “Greenwashing” and “Brownwashing” of Corporate Environmental Information Affect the Analyst Forecast Accuracy?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-28, July.
    7. Brochet, Francois & Limbach, Peter & Bazhutov, Dmitry & Betzer, André & Doumet, Markus, 2020. "Where Does Investor Relations Matter the Most?," CFR Working Papers 18-05, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR), revised 2020.

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