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Slowing Down To Keep The Lead In Military Technology

Author

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  • Leo Blanken
  • Jason Lepore

Abstract

We develop a model of military technology competition among states. States can choose to introduce new military technology, mimic rivals' level of technology, or withdraw from the contest. States can choose to implement any level of technology within their current feasible technologies. We find that states with significant technological leads should sometimes withhold new technologies, only strategically releasing them to trump rivals' efforts. We develop the model by refining Admiral Jackie Fisher's roughly articulated concept of 'plunging'. We then use this refined argument to reanalyze the case of naval rivalries among European powers between the Crimean War and the First World War. Finally, we conclude by discussing the model's implications for current US military force structure planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Leo Blanken & Jason Lepore, 2011. "Slowing Down To Keep The Lead In Military Technology," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 317-334.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:22:y:2011:i:3:p:317-334
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2010.491675
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