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Nonlinear integration of London and Amsterdam stock markets in the 1700s

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  • Stephen Norman
  • Douglas Wills

Abstract

The financial markets in London and Amsterdam were some of the first to develop. Using threshold autoregressive models, we use data on two commonly traded stocks in these cities to show that the joint behaviour of the prices is consistent with the theory of arbitrage in the presence of transportation costs. The results suggest that prices converged more quickly as the price difference between the two markets increased. We also show that the threshold estimates are consistent between assets and across time. These results provide some of the earliest evidence of nonlinear mean reversion in asset prices in geographically separate financial markets.

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  • Stephen Norman & Douglas Wills, 2015. "Nonlinear integration of London and Amsterdam stock markets in the 1700s," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(9), pages 928-939, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:928-939
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985369
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    Cited by:

    1. Stephen Norman, 2016. "Attractor misspecification and threshold estimation bias," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 1911-1921.

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