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Time-varying parameter error correction models: the demand for money in Venezuela, 1983.I-1994.IV

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  • Julian Ramajo

Abstract

The possibility of using time-varying parameter models in the context of error correction models is studied empirically. As an application, a money demand relationship (M1) for Venezuela is estimated from 1983 to 1994 within a cointegrated VAR framework. First, the stochastic properties of the series are analysed, studying each corresponding order of integration. Second, the existence of a long-run stable relation between the variables involved has been investigated, and then the cointegration relation and the short-run adjustment mechanism estimated. As both relations are identified in the context of constant parameters a stability analysis is performed. Finally, the technique of Kalman filtering is used to estimate a model that permits the short-run parameters to vary, while the parameters of the long-run relation are kept constant.

Suggested Citation

  • Julian Ramajo, 2001. "Time-varying parameter error correction models: the demand for money in Venezuela, 1983.I-1994.IV," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(6), pages 771-782.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:771-782
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840122141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gennari, E., 1999. "Estimating Money Demand in Italy 1970-1994," Economics Working Papers eco99/7, European University Institute.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hilde Bjørnland, 2005. "A stable demand for money despite financial crisis: the case of Venezuela," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 375-385.
    2. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2010. "Modelling money demand for a panel of eight transitional economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(25), pages 3293-3305.
    3. Singh, Sunny Kumar, 2016. "Currency demand stability in the presence of seasonality and endogenous financial innovation: Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 71552, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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