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Detection of Streamflow Change in the Susquehanna River Basin

Author

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  • Zhenxing Zhang
  • Andrew Dehoff
  • Robert Pody
  • John Balay

Abstract

Streamflow statistics are commonly used for purposes of planning and managing water resources in the Susquehanna River Basin. For accurately estimating streamflow statistics, it is important to identify whether there are increasing or decreasing changes during the period of records and whether the change is gradual or abrupt. This study employs repeated monotonic trend tests with varying beginning and ending time for detecting changes in streamflow in tributaries within the Susquehanna River Basin. The method is employed to analyze long-term streamflow trends and detect change for annual minimum, median, and maximum daily streamflow for eight unregulated watersheds within the basin. Monthly baseflow and storm runoff are investigated. The results show a considerable increase in annual minimum flow for most of the examined watersheds and a noticeable increase in annual median flow for about half of the examined watersheds. Both these streamflow increases were abrupt, with only a few years of transition centered around 1970. The abrupt change in annual minimum and median flows appears to occur in the summer and fall seasons. The abrupt change in annual minimum and median flows is due to increased flows in the summer and fall seasons. The results also indicate there is no long-term significant increasing or decreasing change in annual maximum flow in the examined watersheds. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenxing Zhang & Andrew Dehoff & Robert Pody & John Balay, 2010. "Detection of Streamflow Change in the Susquehanna River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 1947-1964, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:10:p:1947-1964
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9532-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sheng Yue & ChunYuan Wang, 2004. "The Mann-Kendall Test Modified by Effective Sample Size to Detect Trend in Serially Correlated Hydrological Series," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 18(3), pages 201-218, June.
    2. Hong Wu & Leen-Kiat Soh & Ashok Samal & Xun-Hong Chen, 2008. "Trend Analysis of Streamflow Drought Events in Nebraska," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(2), pages 145-164, February.
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    1. Rajesh Nune & Biju George & Pardhasaradhi Teluguntla & Andrew Western, 2014. "Relating Trends in Streamflow to Anthropogenic Influences: A Case Study of Himayat Sagar Catchment, India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(6), pages 1579-1595, April.
    2. Weibin Zhang & Xiaochun Zha & Jiaxing Li & Wei Liang & Yugai Ma & Dongmei Fan & Sha Li, 2014. "Spatiotemporal Change of Blue Water and Green Water Resources in the Headwater of Yellow River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4715-4732, October.
    3. Jianzhu Li & Senming Tan & Zhaozhen Wei & Fulong Chen & Ping Feng, 2014. "A New Method of Change Point Detection Using Variable Fuzzy Sets Under Environmental Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(14), pages 5125-5138, November.
    4. Xiaohui Yuan & Bin Ji & Hao Tian & Yuehua Huang, 2014. "Multiscaling Analysis of Monthly Runoff Series Using Improved MF-DFA Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 3891-3903, September.

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