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Scenario Prediction of Dynamics of Interest Rates and Internal Credit Volume in Russia for 2018−2022

Author

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  • A. K. Moiseev

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • M. V. Cherkovets

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

This article proposes a model of internal credit driven by variations in interest rates of loans for end borrowers. The variations in internal credit after the interest rate crises that have taken place around the world in recent years are analyzed by international panel comparison, and the median elasticity is evaluated. A prediction of internal credit variations in Russia in the near future is given in light of various scenarios of interest rate fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • A. K. Moiseev & M. V. Cherkovets, 2018. "Scenario Prediction of Dynamics of Interest Rates and Internal Credit Volume in Russia for 2018−2022," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 507-513, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:29:y:2018:i:5:d:10.1134_s107570071805012x
    DOI: 10.1134/S107570071805012X
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. A. Akaev & N. S. Ziyadullaev & A. I. Sarygulov & V. N. Sokolov, 2016. "Medium-term forecast of the dynamics of the development of the Russian economy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 510-517, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Abel Gezevich Aganbegyan, 2019. "Development of the Far East: A National Program in the Context of National Projects," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 3, pages 165-181.
    2. N. P. Pilnik & I. G. Pospelov & S. A. Radionov, 2020. "On Limits of the Influence of the Bank of Russia Key Rate on Indicators of the Russian Banking System," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 229-237, March.
    3. N. P. Pil’nik & S. A. Radionov, 2022. "Forecasting Interest Rates and Maturity Indicators in the Russian Banking System," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 344-352, June.

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