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Atmospheric mesoscale conditions during the Boothbay meteotsunami: a numerical sensitivity study using a high-resolution mesoscale model

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  • Kristian Horvath
  • Ivica Vilibić

Abstract

The article aims to test the sensitivity of high-resolution mesoscale atmospheric model to fairly reproduce atmospheric processes that were present during the Boothbay Harbor meteotsunami on 28 October 2008. The simulations were performed by the Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) model at 1-km horizontal grid spacing by varying initial conditions (ICs) and lateral boundary conditions (LBCs), nesting strategy, simulation lead time and microphysics and convective parameterizations. It seems that the simulations that used higher-resolution IC and LBC were more successful in reproduction of precipitation zone and surface pressure oscillations caused by internal gravity waves observed during the event. The results were very sensitive to the simulation lead time and to the choice of convective parameterization, while the choice of microphysics parameterization and the type of nesting strategy (one-way or two-way) was less important for reproducibility of the event. The success of the WRF model appears limited to very short-range forecasting, most advanced parameterizations, and very high-resolution grid spacing; therefore, the applicability of present atmospheric mesoscale models to future operational meteotsunami warning systems still has a lot of room for improvements. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Kristian Horvath & Ivica Vilibić, 2014. "Atmospheric mesoscale conditions during the Boothbay meteotsunami: a numerical sensitivity study using a high-resolution mesoscale model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(1), pages 55-74, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:74:y:2014:i:1:p:55-74
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1055-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. I. Vilibić & K. Horvath & N. Strelec Mahović & S. Monserrat & M. Marcos & Á. Amores & I. Fine, 2014. "Atmospheric processes responsible for generation of the 2008 Boothbay meteotsunami," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(1), pages 25-53, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ivica Vilibić & Cléa Denamiel & Petra Zemunik & Sebastian Monserrat, 2021. "The Mediterranean and Black Sea meteotsunamis: an overview," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(2), pages 1223-1267, March.
    2. Gozde Guney Dogan & Efim Pelinovsky & Andrey Zaytsev & Ayse Duha Metin & Gulizar Ozyurt Tarakcioglu & Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner & Bora Yalciner & Ira Didenkulova, 2021. "Long wave generation and coastal amplification due to propagating atmospheric pressure disturbances," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(2), pages 1195-1221, March.
    3. David A. Williams & Kevin J. Horsburgh & David M. Schultz & Chris W. Hughes, 2021. "Proudman resonance with tides, bathymetry and variable atmospheric forcings," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(2), pages 1169-1194, March.
    4. B. Mourre & A. Santana & A. Buils & L. Gautreau & M. Ličer & A. Jansà & B. Casas & B. Amengual & J. Tintoré, 2021. "On the potential of ensemble forecasting for the prediction of meteotsunamis in the Balearic Islands: sensitivity to atmospheric model parameterizations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(2), pages 1315-1336, March.
    5. Eric Geist & Uri Brink & Matthew Gove, 2014. "A framework for the probabilistic analysis of meteotsunamis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(1), pages 123-142, October.
    6. Petra Zemunik & Angelo Bonanno & Salvatore Mazzola & Giovanni Giacalone & Ignazio Fontana & Simona Genovese & Gualtiero Basilone & Julio Candela & Jadranka Šepić & Ivica Vilibić & Salvatore Aronica, 2021. "Observing meteotsunamis (“Marrobbio”) on the southwestern coast of Sicily," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(2), pages 1337-1363, March.
    7. Alex Sheremet & Uriah Gravois & Victor Shrira, 2016. "Observations of meteotsunami on the Louisiana shelf: a lone soliton with a soliton pack," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(2), pages 471-492, November.

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