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Approaches for tsunami risk assessment and application to the city of Cádiz, Spain

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  • R. Jelínek
  • E. Krausmann
  • M. González
  • J. Álvarez-Gómez
  • J. Birkmann
  • T. Welle

Abstract

Tsunamis can represent a significant risk to the population and cause huge economic damage in many costal regions. In order to be able to identify risk hot spots and implement targeted risk reduction measures, decision makers need to have a clear picture of the risk situation in their countries or regions. This work reviews existing approaches for tsunami risk assessment and recommends a five-step process for assessing tsunami risk. As a case study, a qualitative risk assessment for a worst-case tsunami scenario was carried out to understand the tsunami risk to the population in Cádiz. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis of the tsunami hazard input parameters was performed as a strong influence of the variability of the input parameters on the resultant tsunami hazard and risk zonation maps was observed. The study shows that regardless of the assumptions made a non-negligible tsunami risk to Cádiz exists. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • R. Jelínek & E. Krausmann & M. González & J. Álvarez-Gómez & J. Birkmann & T. Welle, 2012. "Approaches for tsunami risk assessment and application to the city of Cádiz, Spain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(2), pages 273-293, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:60:y:2012:i:2:p:273-293
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-0009-0
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    1. Evgueni Kulikov & Alexander Rabinovich & Richard Thomson, 2005. "Estimation of Tsunami Risk for the Coasts of Peru and Northern Chile," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 35(2), pages 185-209, June.
    2. Gerassimos Papadopoulos & Th. Dermentzopoulos, 1998. "A Tsunami Risk Management Pilot Study in Heraklion, Crete," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 18(2), pages 91-118, September.
    3. S. Jonkman & J. Vrijling & A. Vrouwenvelder, 2008. "Methods for the estimation of loss of life due to floods: a literature review and a proposal for a new method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(3), pages 353-389, September.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tomoyuki Takabatake & Tomoya Shibayama & Miguel Esteban & Hidenori Ishii, 2018. "Advanced casualty estimation based on tsunami evacuation intended behavior: case study at Yuigahama Beach, Kamakura, Japan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1763-1788, July.

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