IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/metrik/v83y2020i1d10.1007_s00184-019-00723-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A nonparametric estimator for the conditional tail index of Pareto-type distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Yaolan Ma

    (North Minzu University)

  • Bo Wei

    (North Minzu University)

  • Wei Huang

    (Zhejiang University)

Abstract

The tail index is an important parameter in the whole of extreme value theory. In this article, we consider the estimation of the tail index in the presence of a random covariate, where the conditional distribution of the variable of interest is of Pareto-type. More precisely, we use a logarithmic function to link the tail index to the nonlinear predictor induced by covariates, which forms the nonparametric tail index regression models. To estimate the unknown function, we develop an estimation procedure via a local likelihood method. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimated functions are established. Subsequently, these theoretical results are illustrated through simulated and real datasets.

Suggested Citation

  • Yaolan Ma & Bo Wei & Wei Huang, 2020. "A nonparametric estimator for the conditional tail index of Pareto-type distributions," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 83(1), pages 17-44, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:metrik:v:83:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00184-019-00723-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s00184-019-00723-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00184-019-00723-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00184-019-00723-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. V. Chavez‐Demoulin & A. C. Davison, 2005. "Generalized additive modelling of sample extremes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(1), pages 207-222, January.
    2. Yuri Goegebeur & Armelle Guillou & Gilles Stupfler, 2015. "Uniform asymptotic properties of a nonparametric regression estimator of conditional tails," Post-Print hal-01457385, HAL.
    3. Beirlant, Jan & Goegebeur, Yuri, 2003. "Regression with response distributions of Pareto-type," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 595-619, April.
    4. Beirlant, Jan & Goegebeur, Yuri, 2004. "Local polynomial maximum likelihood estimation for Pareto-type distributions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 97-118, April.
    5. Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stéphane, 2008. "A moving window approach for nonparametric estimation of the conditional tail index," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(10), pages 2368-2388, November.
    6. A. C. Davison & N. I. Ramesh, 2000. "Local likelihood smoothing of sample extremes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(1), pages 191-208.
    7. Einmahl, J. H.J. & Dekkers, A. L.M. & de Haan, L., 1989. "A moment estimator for the index of an extreme-value distribution," Other publications TiSEM 81970cb3-5b7a-4cad-9bf6-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    8. Stupfler, Gilles, 2016. "Estimating the conditional extreme-value index under random right-censoring," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 1-24.
    9. Huixia Judy Wang & Deyuan Li, 2013. "Estimation of Extreme Conditional Quantiles Through Power Transformation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(503), pages 1062-1074, September.
    10. Carmela Quintos & Zhenhong Fan & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "Structural Change Tests in Tail Behaviour and the Asian Crisis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(3), pages 633-663.
    11. Daouia, Abdelaati & Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stephane, 2011. "On kernel smoothing for extremal quantile regression," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011031, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    12. Abdelaati Daouia & Laurent Gardes & Stéphane Girard & Alexandre Lekina, 2011. "Kernel estimators of extreme level curves," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 20(2), pages 311-333, August.
    13. Wang, Hansheng & Tsai, Chih-Ling, 2009. "Tail Index Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(487), pages 1233-1240.
    14. Holger Drees, 1998. "On Smooth Statistical Tail Functionals," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 25(1), pages 187-210, March.
    15. John H. J. Einmahl & Laurens Haan & Chen Zhou, 2016. "Statistics of heteroscedastic extremes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(1), pages 31-51, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Yaolan & Jiang, Yuexiang & Huang, Wei, 2018. "Empirical likelihood based inference for conditional Pareto-type tail index," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 114-121.
    2. Ahmad Aboubacrène Ag & Deme El Hadji & Diop Aliou & Girard Stéphane, 2019. "Estimation of the tail-index in a conditional location-scale family of heavy-tailed distributions," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 394-417, January.
    3. Goedele Dierckx & Yuri Goegebeur & Armelle Guillou, 2021. "Local Robust Estimation of Pareto-Type Tails with Random Right Censoring," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 83(1), pages 70-108, February.
    4. Bousebata, Meryem & Enjolras, Geoffroy & Girard, Stéphane, 2023. "Extreme partial least-squares," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    5. Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stéphane & Lekina, Alexandre, 2010. "Functional nonparametric estimation of conditional extreme quantiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 419-433, February.
    6. Stupfler, Gilles, 2016. "Estimating the conditional extreme-value index under random right-censoring," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 1-24.
    7. Yuri Goegebeur & Armelle Guillou & Théo Rietsch, 2015. "Robust conditional Weibull-type estimation," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 67(3), pages 479-514, June.
    8. John H. J. Einmahl & Fan Yang & Chen Zhou, 2021. "Testing the Multivariate Regular Variation Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 907-919, October.
    9. Goedele Dierckx & Yuri Goegebeur & Armelle Guillou, 2014. "Local robust and asymptotically unbiased estimation of conditional Pareto-type tails," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 330-355, June.
    10. He, Fengyang & Wang, Huixia Judy & Zhou, Yuejin, 2022. "Extremal quantile autoregression for heavy-tailed time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    11. Daouia, Abdelaati & Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stephane, 2011. "On kernel smoothing for extremal quantile regression," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011031, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    12. Nicolau, João & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Stoykov, Marian Z., 2023. "Tail index estimation in the presence of covariates: Stock returns’ tail risk dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2266-2284.
    13. Takuma Yoshida, 2021. "Additive models for extremal quantile regression with Pareto-type distributions," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 105(1), pages 103-134, March.
    14. Cui, Hengxin & Tan, Ken Seng & Yang, Fan & Zhou, Chen, 2022. "Asymptotic analysis of portfolio diversification," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 302-325.
    15. Abdelaati Daouia & Laurent Gardes & Stéphane Girard & Alexandre Lekina, 2011. "Kernel estimators of extreme level curves," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 20(2), pages 311-333, August.
    16. Zhang, Qingzhao & Li, Deyuan & Wang, Hansheng, 2013. "A note on tail dependence regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 163-172.
    17. Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stéphane, 2008. "A moving window approach for nonparametric estimation of the conditional tail index," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(10), pages 2368-2388, November.
    18. Yuya Sasaki & Yulong Wang, 2022. "Fixed-k Inference for Conditional Extremal Quantiles," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 829-837, April.
    19. Daouia, Abdelaati & Stupfler, Gilles & Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine, 2022. "Inference for extremal regression with dependent heavy-tailed data," TSE Working Papers 22-1324, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised 29 Aug 2023.
    20. He, Fengyang & Cheng, Yebin & Tong, Tiejun, 2016. "Estimation of extreme conditional quantiles through an extrapolation of intermediate regression quantiles," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 30-37.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:metrik:v:83:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00184-019-00723-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.