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Fertility and the Easterlin hypothesis: An assessment of the literature

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Author Info
Diane J. Macunovich () (Maxwell Center for Policy Research, 426 Eggers Hall, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13244-1020, USA)

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Abstract

Focusing just on the fertility aspects of the Easterlin hypothesis, this paper offers a critical assessment - rather than just a selective citation - of the extensive fertility literature generated by Easterlin, and a complete inventory of data and methodologies in seventy-six published analyses. With an equal number of micro- and macro-level analyses using North American data (twenty-two), the "track record" of the hypothesis is the same in both venues, with fifteen providing significant support in each case. The literature suggests unequivocal support for the relativity of the income concept in fertility, but is less clear regarding the source(s) of differences in material aspirations, and suggests that the observed relationship between fertility and cohort size has varied across countries and time periods due to the effects of additional factors not included in most models.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 11 (1998)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 53-111
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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:11:y:1998:i:1:p:53-111

Note: Received: 16 July 1996 / Accepted: 26 September 1997
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Related research
Keywords: Easterlin · relative income · fertility;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
N3 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Income, and Wealth

Cited by:
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  1. Martin Dribe & Maria Stanfors, 2009. "Education, Work and Parenthood: Comparing the Experience of Young Men and Women in Sweden," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 32-42, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Diane Macunovich, 1999. "The Role of Relative Cohort Size and Relative Income in the Demographic Transition," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 9, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
  3. Diane Macunovich, 1999. "Relative Cohort Size: Source of a Unifying Theory of Global Fertility Transition," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 8, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Zamac, Jovan & Hallberg, Daniel & Lindh, Thomas, 2008. "Low fertility and long run growth in an economy with a large public sector," CAFO Working Papers 2009:5, Centre for Labour Market Policy Research (CAFO), School of Management and Economics, Växjö University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Kosei Fukuda, 2008. "Age–Period–Cohort Decomposition of U.S. and Japanese Birth Rates," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 385-402, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Yongil Jeon & Sang-Young Rhyu & Michael P. Shields, 2007. "Asian Demographic Transition: An Instrumental-Variables Panel Approach," Monash Economics Working Papers 28/07, Monash University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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