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The genuine savings criterion and the value of population

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Author Info
Kenneth J. Arrow
Partha Dasgupta
Karl-Göran Mäler

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Abstract

In any dynamic model of the economy with changing population, the latter should properly be one of the state variables of the system. It enters both in the maximand, at least under total utilitarianism, and into the production function in one way or another. If population growth is exponential and constant returns prevails, then a simple transformation to per capita variables can be used to eliminate one state variable, but this ceases to be true if growth is not exponential, as it obviously is not and cannot be. If the growth of population is exogenous, then introducing it into the system does not affect the optimal policy. However, if one asks whether the system is sustainable, in the sense of at least maintaining total welfare (integral of discounted utilities), then the criterion is that that the value of the rates of change of the state variables is non-negative, so that the shadow price of population becomes relevant. In this paper, we derive explicit formulas in a simple model, showing that the rate of growth of per capita capital is not the correct formula but must have another terms added to it. We also study the question under an alternative criterion of long-run average utilitarianism. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2003

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Article provided by Springer in its journal Economic Theory.

Volume (Year): 21 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 (03)
Pages: 217-225
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Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:21:y:2003:i:2:p:217-225

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Keywords: Keywords and Phrases: Optimal control; Population; Genuine savings; Accounting prices; JEL Classification Numbers: D90; H43.;

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  1. Aidt, T.S., 2009. "Corruption, Institutions and Economic Development," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0918, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Valeria Costantini & Salvatore Monni, 2004. "Measuring human and Sustainable Development: An Integrated Approach for European Countries," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0041, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre. [Downloadable!]
  3. Anastasios Xepapadeas & Dimitra Vouvaki, 2005. "Criteria for Assessing Sustainable Development: Theoretical Issues and Empirical Evidence for the Case of Greece," Working Papers 2005.59, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Asheim, Geir, 2003. "Green national accounting for welfare and sustainability: A taxonomy of assumptions and results," Memorandum 31/2002, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Partha Dasgupta, 2008. "Nature in Economics," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 39(1), pages 1-7, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Partha Dasgupta & Karl-Göran Mäler, 2003. "The Economics of Non-Convex Ecosystems: Introduction," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 26(4), pages 499-525, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Partha Dasgupta, 2009. "The Welfare Economic Theory of Green National Accounts," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 42(1), pages 3-38, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Asheim, Geir, 2003. "Green national accounting with a changing population," Memorandum 06/2003, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Kenneth Arrow & Partha Dasgupta & Karl-Göran Mäler, 2003. "Evaluating Projects and Assessing Sustainable Development in Imperfect Economies," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 26(4), pages 647-685, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Arrow, Kenneth J. & Bensoussan, Alain & Feng, Qi & Sethi, Suresh P., 2008. "The Genuine Saving Criterion and the Value of Population in an Economy with Endogenous Population Changes," MPRA Paper 14622, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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