IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/fininn/v10y2024i1d10.1186_s40854-023-00519-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A hybrid model for stock price prediction based on multi-view heterogeneous data

Author

Listed:
  • Wen Long

    (University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Jing Gao

    (University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Kehan Bai

    (Beijing Jiaotong University)

  • Zhichen Lu

    (University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Literature shows that both market data and financial media impact stock prices; however, using only one kind of data may lead to information bias. Therefore, this study uses market data and news to investigate their joint impact on stock price trends. However, combining these two types of information is difficult because of their completely different characteristics. This study develops a hybrid model called MVL-SVM for stock price trend prediction by integrating multi-view learning with a support vector machine (SVM). It works by simply inputting heterogeneous multi-view data simultaneously, which may reduce information loss. Compared with the ARIMA and classic SVM models based on single- and multi-view data, our hybrid model shows statistically significant advantages. In the robustness test, our model outperforms the others by at least 10% accuracy when the sliding windows of news and market data are set to 1–5 days, which confirms our model’s effectiveness. Finally, trading strategies based on single stock and investment portfolios are constructed separately, and the simulations show that MVL-SVM has better profitability and risk control performance than the benchmarks.

Suggested Citation

  • Wen Long & Jing Gao & Kehan Bai & Zhichen Lu, 2024. "A hybrid model for stock price prediction based on multi-view heterogeneous data," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-50, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:fininn:v:10:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-023-00519-w
    DOI: 10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:fininn:v:10:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-023-00519-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.