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Pandemic pushes polarisation: the Corona crisis and macroeconomic divergence in the Eurozone

Author

Listed:
  • Claudius Gräbner

    (University of Duisburg
    Johannes Kepler University Linz
    ZOE, Institute for Future-Fit Economies)

  • Philipp Heimberger

    (Johannes Kepler University Linz
    Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (Wiiw))

  • Jakob Kapeller

    (University of Duisburg
    Johannes Kepler University Linz)

Abstract

This paper discusses the uneven consequences of the macroeconomic fallout from the Coronavirus and related economic policy responses against the background of an analysis of longer-term macroeconomic divergence in the Eurozone. We show that the macroeconomic impact of the Corona crisis is estimated to be more severe in Southern Eurozone countries than in Northern Eurozone countries, which further reinforces the tendency of an increasing economic polarisation. This polarisation process can be traced back to existing differences in production structures and uneven vulnerabilities of the underlying growth models. As a consequence, any policy response to the Corona crisis that does not take the deeper problems of structural polarisation into account will suffer from limited impact in the medium to long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudius Gräbner & Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller, 2020. "Pandemic pushes polarisation: the Corona crisis and macroeconomic divergence in the Eurozone," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(3), pages 425-438, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:epolin:v:47:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s40812-020-00163-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s40812-020-00163-w
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    1. Claudius Gräbner & Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller & Bernhard Schütz, 2017. "Is Europe Disintegrating? Macroeconomic Divergence, Structural Polarisation, Trade and Fragility," wiiw Working Papers 136, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    2. Kapeller, Jakob & Gräbner, Claudius & Heimberger, Philipp, 2019. "Economic polarisation in Europe: Causes and policy options," ifso working paper series 5, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute for Socioeconomics (ifso).
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    5. Claudius Gräbner & Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller & Bernhard Schütz, 2020. "Structural change in times of increasing openness: assessing path dependency in European economic integration," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1467-1495, November.
    6. Dosi, Giovanni & Grazzi, Marco & Moschella, Daniele, 2015. "Technology and costs in international competitiveness: From countries and sectors to firms," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10), pages 1795-1814.
    7. Wildauer, Rafael & Leitch, Stuart & Kapeller, Jakob, 2020. "How to boost the European Green Deal's scale and ambition," ifso expertise 8, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute for Socioeconomics (ifso).
    8. Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller, 2017. "The performativity of potential output: pro-cyclicality and path dependency in coordinating European fiscal policies," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 904-928, September.
    9. Alberto Botta, 2014. "Structural asymmetries at the roots of the eurozone crisis: what's new for industrial policy in the EU?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 67(269), pages 169-216.
    10. Servaas Storm & C.W.M. Naastepad, 2015. "Europe’s Hunger Games: Income Distribution, Cost Competitiveness and Crisis," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 39(3), pages 959-986.
    11. Servaas Storm & C.W.M. Naastepad, 2016. "Myths, Mix-ups, and Mishandlings: Understanding the Eurozone Crisis," International Journal of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 46-71, January.
    12. Franz J. Prante & Alessandro Bramucci & Achim Truger, 2020. "Decades of Tight Fiscal Policy Have Left the Health Care System in Italy Ill-Prepared to Fight the COVID-19 Outbreak," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(3), pages 147-152, May.
    13. Claudius Gräbner & Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller, 2019. "Economic Polarisation in Europe: Causes and Options for Action," wiiw Research Reports 440, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    14. Claudius Gräbner & Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller & Bernhard Schütz, 2020. "Is the Eurozone disintegrating? Macroeconomic divergence, structural polarisation, trade and fragility," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 44(3), pages 647-669.
    15. Alberto Botta, 2014. "Structural Asymmetries at the Roots of the Eurozone Crisis: What’s New for Industrial Policy in the EU?," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_794, Levy Economics Institute.
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    2. Michael Dauderstädt, 2022. "International Inequality and the COVID-19 Pandemic," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(1), pages 40-46, January.
    3. RADU Maria-Tatiana & RĂDULESCU Magdalena & PENTESCU Alma & MARINOV Georgi & KHARLAMOVA Ganna, 2023. "The Effects of Immigration and Unemployment on European Countries: A Comparative Social and Fiscal Perspective," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 02, June.
    4. Gräbner, Claudius & Hafele, Jakob, 2020. "The emergence of core-periphery structures in the European Union: A complexity perspective," ZOE Discussion Papers 6, ZOE. institute for future-fit economies, Bonn.
    5. Davide Villani & Marta Fana, 2021. "Productive integration, economic recession and employment in Europe: an assessment based on vertically integrated sectors," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 48(2), pages 137-157, June.
    6. Fontana, Giuseppe & Kamara, Mohamed Sheriff Hamid, 2023. "Towards monetary union in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS): Better policy harmonisation and greater intra-trade are needed," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 58-73.
    7. Adriana Grenčíková & Valentinas Navickas & Marcel Kordoš & Matej Húževka, 2021. "Slovak business environment development under the industry 4.0 and global pandemic outbreak issues," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(4), pages 164-179, June.
    8. Josef Abrhám & Milan Vošta, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on EU Convergence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-14, August.
    9. Vytautas Kuokštis & Ringailė Kuokštytė, 2023. "How Institutions Moderated the Pandemic's Economic Impact in EU Member States," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 503-525, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Polarisation; Coronavirus; Eurozone;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights

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