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Our forestry prospect: the past recycled or a surprise-rich future?

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  • Norman Myers

    (Oxford University)

Abstract

NORMAN MYERS: An honorary visiting fellow at Green College. He is an independent scientist and consultant working in environment and development.Like most other environmental and economic sectors, forestry worldwide looks set to encounter a growing number of surprises in the sense of major divergencies from established trends. These surprises will be largely environmental or economic or both at once. Unless we do a better job of identifying them ahead of time, these surprises will often be of a scale to overwhelm our anticipatory and preventive capacities. Indeed and as this paper demonstrates, the most likely as well as the most taxing forestry problems of the future will often be the ones we have scarcely thought of. Fortunately, the same applies to forestry opportunities. In these circumstances, there is a premium on not only supplying answers to recognized questions but on raising entirely new questions.

Suggested Citation

  • Norman Myers, 1997. "Our forestry prospect: the past recycled or a surprise-rich future?," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 233-247, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:envsyd:v:17:y:1997:i:4:d:10.1023_a:1018541125667
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1018541125667
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