IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sos/sosjrn/150304.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Kırgızistan Dış Ticaret Dengesinin Belirleyicileri

Author

Listed:
  • Jusup PIRIMBAEV
  • Zamira OSKONBAEVA

Abstract

This study aims to estimate using monthly data for the 2000-2013 period, the main determinants of the trade balance of Kyrgyzstan. For this purpose, in the framework of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model were used the following variables: the balance of trade (export/import), GDP, the real exchange rate and money supply (M2). The results of the econometric analysis show that the monetary and the elasticity models perform better. In other words, 1% increase in the real exchange rate leads to an improvement in the trade balance by about 1.09%, and 1% decrease in the money supply leads to an improvement in the trade balance by about 0.51%. In the long run Marshall-Lerner condition is observed while in the short term is not found J-curve effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Jusup PIRIMBAEV & Zamira OSKONBAEVA, 2015. "Kırgızistan Dış Ticaret Dengesinin Belirleyicileri," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 23(25).
    • Handle: RePEc:sos:sosjrn:150304
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dergipark.gov.tr/download/article-file/197823
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Trade Balance; ARDL Model; Elasticity Approach; Absorption Approach; Monetarist Approach; J-curve.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sos:sosjrn:150304. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Aysen Sivrikaya (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sosyoekonomijournal.org/home.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.