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Federal Government Budget Deficits and Real Long-Term Interest Rates in the United States: An Alternative Perspective

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  • Richard J. Cebula
  • Ira S. Saltz

Abstract

The empirical results obtained in this study suggest that, in the United States, a rise in the real long-term rate of interest elicits a rise in the federal government budget deficit. This impact of the real long-term interest rate appears to arise because of the negative effect that higher real interest rates exercise on the unemployment rate. The findings obtained in this study imply that a monetary policy that directly or indirectly raises real long-term interest rates may raise the government budget deficit as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard J. Cebula & Ira S. Saltz, 1997. "Federal Government Budget Deficits and Real Long-Term Interest Rates in the United States: An Alternative Perspective," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 133(I), pages 19-27, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ses:arsjes:1997-i-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Jorg Bibow, 2004. "Fiscal Consolidation: Contrasting Strategies & Lessons From International Experiences," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_400, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Oseni O. Isiaq & Adesoye A. Bolaji, 2016. "Fiscal Policy and Term Structure of Interest Rate in Nigeria," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 12(2), pages 70-83, April.
    3. Jorg Bibow, 2004. "Assessing the ECB's Performance since the Global Slowdown: A Structural Policy Bias Coming Home to Roost?," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_409, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Chakraborty, Lekha, 2012. "Determination of Interest Rate in India: Empirical Evidence on Fiscal Deficit-Interest Links and Financial Crowding Out," Working Papers 12/110, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    5. Oseni O. Isiaq & Adesoye A. Bolaji, 2016. "Fiscal Policy and Term Structure of Interest Rate in Nigeria," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(12), pages 70-83, April.

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