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Качественный Анализ Влияния Деловых Циклов На Экономический Рост

Author

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  • Акаев А.А.

Abstract

Дан качественный анализ решений дифференциальных уравнений, описывающих циклические колебания деловой активности и экономический рост, исследована устойчивость системы. Рассчитана точка бифуркации, где система теряет устойчивость и становится восприимчивой к структурным изменениям и инновациям. Следствием бифуркации является возникновение в системе самоподдерживающихся незатухающих автоколебаний. Показано, что в условиях неустойчивости происходит смена уровней равновесия, что определяет возрастающий экономический рост. Выявлен механизм влияния краткосрочных циклических колебаний на формирование траектории долгосрочного экономического роста.

Suggested Citation

  • Акаев А.А., 2009. "Качественный Анализ Влияния Деловых Циклов На Экономический Рост," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 45(3), июль.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:cememm:45-3-6
    Note: Москва
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