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Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating environments

Author

Listed:
  • Natalie Vanatta
  • Brian David Johnson

Abstract

Threatcasting, a new foresight methodology, draws from futures studies and military strategic thinking to provide a novel method to model the future. The methodology fills gaps in existing military futures thinking and provides a process to specify actionable steps as well as progress indicators. Threatcasting also provides an ability to anticipate future threats and develop strategies to reduce the impact of any event. This technical note provides a detailed explanation of the Threatcasting methodology. It provides the reader with its connections to the current body of work within the foresight community and then explains the four phase methodology through the use of a real-life example.

Suggested Citation

  • Natalie Vanatta & Brian David Johnson, 2019. "Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating environments," The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, , vol. 16(1), pages 79-88, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:joudef:v:16:y:2019:i:1:p:79-88
    DOI: 10.1177/1548512918806385
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