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Rushing to the Polls: The Causes of Premature Postconflict Elections

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Author Info

  • Dawn Brancati

    (Department of Political Science, Washington University in Saint Louis, Saint Louis, MO, USA, brancati@wustl.edu)

  • Jack L. Snyder

    (Department of Political Science and Arnold A. Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA)

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    Abstract

    In the post—cold war period, civil wars are increasingly likely to end with peace settlements brokered by international actors who press for early elections. However, elections held soon after wars end, when political institutions remain weak, are associated with an increased likelihood of a return to violence. International actors have a double-edged influence over election timing and the risk of war, often promoting precarious military stalemates and early elections but sometimes also working to prevent a return to war through peacekeeping, institution building, and powersharing. In this article, we develop and test quantitatively a model of the causes of early elections as a building block in evaluating the larger effect of election timing on the return to war.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Peace Science Society (International) in its journal Journal of Conflict Resolution.

    Volume (Year): 55 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 3 (June)
    Pages: 469-492

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    Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:55:y:2011:i:3:p:469-492

    Contact details of provider:
    Web page: http://pss.la.psu.edu/

    Related research

    Keywords: civil war; elections; and peacekeeping;

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    Cited by:
    1. Armey, Laura E. & McNab, Robert M., 2012. "Democratization and civil war," MPRA Paper 42460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Grandi Francesca, 2013. "New Incentives and Old Organizations: The Production of Violence After War," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 309-319, December.
    3. Grandi, Francesca, 2013. "New incentives and old organizations: The production of violence after war," NEPS Working Papers 2/2013, Network of European Peace Scientists.

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