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Arms Race Instability and War

Author

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  • Theresa Clair Smith

    (Department of Pohtical Science Rutgers University)

Abstract

Historically, half of the interstate wars identified by Singer and Small have been preceded by arms racing; therefore, not all wars stem from weapons competition. Similarly, there are arms races which end pacifically. Here, considering only arms race-related conflicts, the author argues that war may be anticipated at the end of an arms race on the basis of time-constrained mathematical stability characteristics of the involvement.

Suggested Citation

  • Theresa Clair Smith, 1980. "Arms Race Instability and War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 24(2), pages 253-284, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:24:y:1980:i:2:p:253-284
    DOI: 10.1177/002200278002400204
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Morrison, J Lawton, Jr, 1970. "Small Sample Properties of Selected Distributed Lag Estimators," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 11(1), pages 13-23, February.
    2. Jean-Christian LAMBELET, 1991. "Do Arms Races Lead to Peace?," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 9108, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    3. Durbin, J, 1970. "Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 410-421, May.
    4. Paul Smoker, 1969. "A Time Series Analysis of Sino-Indian relations1," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 13(2), pages 172-191, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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