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Power transition theory and the rise of China

Author

Listed:
  • Woosang Kim

    (Yonsei University, South Korea)

  • Scott Gates

    (Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and University of Oslo, Norway)

Abstract

Does the rise of China inexorably anticipate the onset of global instability or even a great power war? Today, routine comparisons are made between a rising China with that of Germany over 100 years ago. Organski, in his original explication of power transition theory, however, was far more cautious. Despite predicting the remarkable rise of China nearly 60 years ago in his book (1958), World Politics , Organski was circumspect in predicting a great power war involving China and the United States. This article examines the development of power transition theory by a variety of scholars since Organski. We draw on these developments of power transition theory to analyze the implications of the rise of China. We also introduce the other articles that compose this Special Issue of International Area Studies Review on power transition theory and the rise of China.

Suggested Citation

  • Woosang Kim & Scott Gates, 2015. "Power transition theory and the rise of China," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 18(3), pages 219-226, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:intare:v:18:y:2015:i:3:p:219-226
    DOI: 10.1177/2233865915598545
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mark Abdollahian & Kyungkook Kang, 2008. "In Search of Structure: The Nonlinear Dynamics of Power Transitions," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 333-357, December.
    2. Carole Alsharabati & Jacek Kugler, 2008. "War Initiation in a Changing World," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 358-381, December.
    3. David Rapkin & William Thompson, 2003. "Power Transition, Challenge and the (Re)Emergence of China," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 315-342, October.
    4. Kindleberger, Charles P., 1986. "Hierarchy versus inertial cooperation," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(4), pages 841-847, October.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sandra Lavenex & Omar Serrano & Tim Büthe, 2021. "Power transitions and the rise of the regulatory state: Global market governance in flux," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(3), pages 445-471, July.
    2. Charis Vlados, 2020. "The Dynamics of the Current Global Restructuring and Contemporary Framework of the US–China Trade War," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(1), pages 4-23, January.
    3. Javier Vadell, 2019. "La iniciativa BRICS y China: entre la emergencia y la irrelevancia [A iniciativa BRICS e a China: entre a emergência e a irrelevância]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 29(2), pages 401-428, May-Augus.
    4. Bora Jeong & Hoon Lee, 2021. "US–China commercial rivalry, great war and middle powers," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 24(2), pages 135-148, June.
    5. Victor Alexandre G. Teixeira, 2021. "The Hegemony’s Contest in the South China Sea," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, July.
    6. Khan, Haider, 2023. "War and Peace in East Asia: Avoiding Thucydides’s Trap with China as a Rising Power," MPRA Paper 117089, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Carsten Rauch, 2017. "A tale of two power transitions: Capabilities, satisfaction, and the will to power in the relations between the United Kingdom, the United States, and Imperial Germany," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 201-222, September.

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