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On the Parameters of Uniform Swing in Single-Member Constituency Electoral Systems

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  • R J Johnston
  • A M Hay

Abstract

The concept of uniform swing across a set of constituencies is widely used in analyses of British general election results. The uniformity of swing is paradoxical, since only in very special cases will it be the result of a uniform national process. The present paper investigates that paradox, and identifies the spatially varying parameters of electoral change needed to produce uniform swing. Further, it adapts the entropy-maximising procedures to provide best estimates of interconstituency variations in changing voter preferences between elections.

Suggested Citation

  • R J Johnston & A M Hay, 1982. "On the Parameters of Uniform Swing in Single-Member Constituency Electoral Systems," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 14(1), pages 61-74, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:14:y:1982:i:1:p:61-74
    DOI: 10.1068/a140061
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    Cited by:

    1. Johnston, Ron & Gschwend, Thomas & Pattie, Charles, 2004. "On Estimates of Split-Ticket Voting: EI and EMax," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 04-40, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    2. A R Pickles & R B Davies & R Crouchley, 1984. "Individual and Geographical Variation in Longitudinal Voting Data for England 1964–1970," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 16(9), pages 1237-1247, September.
    3. Charles Pattie & Daniel Dorling & Ron Johnston, 1995. "A Debt-owing Democracy: The Political Impact of Housing Market Recession at the British General Election of 1992," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 32(8), pages 1293-1315, August.
    4. R J Johnston & C J Pattie, 1987. "A Dividing Nation? An Initial Exploration of the Changing Electoral Geography of Great Britain, 1979–1987," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 19(8), pages 1001-1013, August.

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